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Mathematics & Statistics: The Spread of Disease in a Population: Modelling & Testing – A Taste of Mathematics & Statistics With Professor Simon Cox & Dr Kim Kenobi From Aberystwyth University

2nd March 2021 @ 14:15 - 15:00



We are delighted to present the Taste Of series from Aberystwyth University which showcases different subject disciplines. Students will be engaged in a lively interactive discussion that provides enrichment of their current studies whilst bringing to life the wealth of academic possibilities available at university.

In The Spread of Disease in a Population: Modelling & Testing, Professor Simon Cox and Dr Kim Kenobi from the Department of Mathematics will split the session into two parts: (I) developing a mathematical model and using graphs to analyse the solutions, (II) statistical interpretation – understanding conditional probabilities in a disease testing context.

Students will see how differential equations can be used to model a real world scenario, in this case the spread of a disease within a population, and how features of the solution can be determined graphically without having to solve the equation directly.

In the second part students will be given an opportunity to think critically about how to interpret the results of a biological test (for example the COVID-19 antibody test). Does a positive result always mean you have the disease?  Are you definitely clear of the disease if you get a negative result?

In both sections, students will have the chance to engage and ask questions.


For further details about this great series and to see other Taste Of events on offer, please click below:




Lecturer Profile (Please Click): Professor Simon Cox & Dr Kim Kenobi

Suitable for: Year 12 & Year 13 students studying or with an interest in Mathematics, Statistics, or related subjects.

Preparation or Pre-Reading: There is no formal preparation or pre-reading but participants may like to consider in advance some questions relevant to the subject area.

The IT Setup: The event will be run on Bluejeans and participants will be able to join using laptops, tablets, and mobile devices. You will be able to interact with the university via a microphone and/or typed comments and questions. Full details will be sent to those who have registered (see below) prior to the event.

Booking a Place: This is free for schools and colleges.  If you would like to take part in this event, please register your interest using the link to the registration form below:



2nd March 2021
14:15 - 15:00
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